2008 Prognostication Quiz: Post 11 of 12

I've waited and waited, but I just don't think we're going to have another hurricane. The hurricane season ended on November 30, but I still held out hope. It was quite a teaser when Paloma turned into a hurricane the first week of last month. That was the eighth of the season. One more hurricane would have meant that I would not end up alone at the bottom of my first annual quiz. That ninth hurricane was not forthcoming. I must finally admit defeat. The answer to question 11 is C. Eleven people predicted this: Matthew B., Sandy, Pete, Megan, Jodene, Jeremiah, Laura, Beth Z., Liz, Jorge, and Rachel.

The eight hurricanes settles two of the intra-relationship grudge matches. With that final extra point, Liz passes Jeff (3 to 2), and Megan passes Rob (4 to 3). (Katie was already going to beat me 2 to 1, Ryan had already squeaked ahead of Heather on a better tiebreak, and Jodene completely thrashed Oraldo 4 to 2.)

This, then, is likely to be the final top of the leaderboard:

1. Matthew B.
2. Sandy
3. Pete
4. Eric
5. Megan
6. Grant
7. Jodene
8. Ekrem

Everyone is invited to join in next year's quiz, too! It has a couple extra questions and will be coming out on Monday, December 29. I will keep everyone posted!

Comments

Can You Cross Your Toes?

Katie and I had a heated discussion the night before last. We were sitting on the couch watching Jon Stewart when she noticed a large, apparently cancerous growth sticking out of the bottom of my foot. She asked what the big lump in my sock was. "That's my toe," I responded, nonplussed. I had crossed my first and second toes, causing a lump to protrude from the bottom of my sock. Katie was quite alarmed. "You can cross your toes?" "Sure, can't you? Everyone can cross their toes!" "Of course I can't cross my toes. Who can cross their toes?" And I confirmed that Katie could not, in fact, cross her toes. Even manipulating her toes with my fingers, I could not get her toes to stay crossed. She just has very short toes. That led, of course, into a discussion of who was the freak. Were my long, crossable toes abnormal, or were her stubby, uncrossable phalanges the outliers? In case you're confused, here are some pictures. First, of my v

Leagalize drugs!

The Economist has a wonderful editorial this week about legalizing drugs. I wholeheartedly agree that the world will be better off by far if the United States legalized, taxed, and regulated illicit drugs such as cannabis, cocaine, and heroin. The goods that will come from legalization: 1. We will save the $40 billion the US spends trying to eliminate the supply of drugs. 2. We will save the costs involved in incarcerating so many drug offenders (as well as gain their productivity in society). 3. We will gain money through taxation on the legal drug trade. 4. Legalized drugs will be regulated, and thus purer and safer to take. 5. With all these savings, we will have lots of money to spend on treating drug addiction as a public health issue rather than as a law and order issue. We will have lots of money to fund treatment programs for addicts that are ensnared by the easier availability of drugs. 6. We will prevent tens of thousands of killings in countries that produce drugs when proc

2017 Prognostication Quiz FINAL POST: Questions 10 and 11, Stocks and Quakes

In the last post , I pointed out that Matthew D. and I were in a two-way tie at the top of the leaderboard with me holding the edge over him in the tiebreaker. For Matthew D. to have a chance to come from behind and grab the win, some significant December movement would be needed in one of three areas: the stock market, world earthquakes, or a convenient death. Here's what happened: 10. Stocks (December 29) How will stocks do in this first year of Trumponomics? Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be up or down compared to the final close of 2016? Which way will the Dow go? a. Up b. Down The Dow Jones continued to rise throughout the month. I maintained my advantage in the tie-breaker. 11. Earthquake (December 31) How many big earthquakes (magnitude 8.0 or larger on the Richter scale) will there be this year? (Big earthquake counts from this millennium are indicated in parentheses.) How many big earthquakes will there be this year? a. None (2) b. One (7) c. Two (4) d. Th

J. Michael Andresen

Search This Blog