J. Michael Andresen

Before I get to the Questions, I have an announcement to make. After 10 years of writing and running the Prognostication Quiz, I have decided to hang up my boots. I was able to manage the time commitment of Quiz plus wife, two kids, and a regular job, but now that I am at a start-up, I have had much less time for writing. You may have noticed my posts have become increasingly short and unfunny. I'll spare everyone the agony next year. If anyone else wants to try writing their own periodic game/quiz/contest, I would eagerly join and also let the rest of the Quiz contestants know an alternate exists to help ease their Prognostication Quiz withdrawal. 7. Kenya Kenya has a fragile democracy with a history of tribal violence surrounding elections. Right now, the incumbent Uhuru Kenyatta is widely expected to win re-election over his 2013 opponent Raila Odinga. Who will be the next President of Kenya? a. Uhuru Kenyatta (incumbent, Jubilee Coalition) b. Raila Odinga (CORD) c. some

8. Nobels There are six Nobel Prizes: Physics, Chemistry, Physiology or Medicine, Literature, Peace, and Economic Sciences. They can each be awarded to as many as three people, so it is pretty special when a Nobel Prize is given to a single individual (with the exception of the Literature Prize, which is usually awarded to a single individual). How often will that happen this year? (The total number of times each has happened this millennium is indicated.) How many Nobel prizes will be awarded to a single individual? a. One (4) b. Two (9) c. Three (3) d. Zero, Four, Five, or Six (0) The Nobel Prize in Literature went to  Kazuo Ishiguro, and the  Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel went to  Richard Thaler (above). This means the answer to Question 8 of  the  2017 Prognostication Quiz  is B. In rough proportion to the historical expectation, 13 entrants chose A, 23 chose B, and 2 chose C. Sveriges Riksbankers Michael A. Sarah T. Ben