Skip to main content

2009 Prognostication Quiz: Post 3 of 14


The favored Pittsburgh Steelers had to come from behind with less than a minute remaining in the game in order to best the Arizona Cardinals. It was an exciting game, but it is even more exciting for the 2009 Prognostication Quiz! We now have a sole leader, as Tina has gone 3-for-3 in the first three questions.

These Steelers fans each get one point for picking D on Question 3:
Tina
Leanne
Zoe
Pamela
Gloria

It's a bitter pill for Pete C. to swallow. He was the only person to have predicted Arizona's amazing list of upsets in the playoffs, and he would have taken the presumptive lead had Arizona held on to its fourth-quarter lead. Instead, he's now two points behind the leader.

Leaderboard:
Tina (3)
Stephanie (2)
Leanne (2)
Ted (2)
Jeremiah (2)
Peter M. (2)
Heather (2)

22 people have 1 point, and 14 people (including me) have 0 points. We still have lots of events coming up! It's still really anyone's game, with 11 questions to go.

Question 4 update: As more members of the Academy have leaked their votes, Slumdog Millionaire seems to be increasing its lead. It's now trading at 82% likely to happen on Intrade.com. Here's a leaderboard of predicted final score with that incorporated:

1. Stephanie
2. Tina
3. Leanne
4. Pete C.
5. Ted
6. Jeremiah
7. Kevin
8. Jan
9. Zoe
10. Peter M.
11. Pamela
12. Heather
13. Ellen
14. Katie
15. Gloria

Question 12 update: January snowfall in MN was 8.4 inches, which is below the average of 10.9 inches. Those who predicted a lower-than-average snowfall may be a bit ahead! That includes Heather, Ellen, and Gloria on the leaderboard above.

Next up is the Academy Awards on Sunday, February 22. Stay tuned!

Comments

  1. J-W Maessen2:34 PM

    Darnit, I think Boston had more snowfall in a 24-hour period a couple of weeks back then MN had all month.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Tina8:15 AM

    Why am I #2 on the predicted list? Even if Stephanie gets it right and I get it wrong, we're tied. So why is she at the top? Is this some sort of passive agressive manifestation of your extreme jealousy of my successful prognosticating? Hmph.

    ReplyDelete
  3. J. Michael Andresen6:01 PM

    Stephanie is on top because she had more answers down the road that matched with what more other people guessed. It's not probably the best predictor of long-term success in the quiz, but it amuses me.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Can You Cross Your Toes?

Katie and I had a heated discussion the night before last. We were sitting on the couch watching Jon Stewart when she noticed a large, apparently cancerous growth sticking out of the bottom of my foot. She asked what the big lump in my sock was. "That's my toe," I responded, nonplussed. I had crossed my first and second toes, causing a lump to protrude from the bottom of my sock. Katie was quite alarmed. "You can cross your toes?" "Sure, can't you? Everyone can cross their toes!" "Of course I can't cross my toes. Who can cross their toes?" And I confirmed that Katie could not, in fact, cross her toes. Even manipulating her toes with my fingers, I could not get her toes to stay crossed. She just has very short toes. That led, of course, into a discussion of who was the freak. Were my long, crossable toes abnormal, or were her stubby, uncrossable phalanges the outliers? In case you're confused, here are some pictures. First, of my v
35 comments
Read more

Leagalize drugs!

The Economist has a wonderful editorial this week about legalizing drugs. I wholeheartedly agree that the world will be better off by far if the United States legalized, taxed, and regulated illicit drugs such as cannabis, cocaine, and heroin. The goods that will come from legalization: 1. We will save the $40 billion the US spends trying to eliminate the supply of drugs. 2. We will save the costs involved in incarcerating so many drug offenders (as well as gain their productivity in society). 3. We will gain money through taxation on the legal drug trade. 4. Legalized drugs will be regulated, and thus purer and safer to take. 5. With all these savings, we will have lots of money to spend on treating drug addiction as a public health issue rather than as a law and order issue. We will have lots of money to fund treatment programs for addicts that are ensnared by the easier availability of drugs. 6. We will prevent tens of thousands of killings in countries that produce drugs when proc
10 comments
Read more

2017 Prognostication Quiz FINAL POST: Questions 10 and 11, Stocks and Quakes

In the last post , I pointed out that Matthew D. and I were in a two-way tie at the top of the leaderboard with me holding the edge over him in the tiebreaker. For Matthew D. to have a chance to come from behind and grab the win, some significant December movement would be needed in one of three areas: the stock market, world earthquakes, or a convenient death. Here's what happened: 10. Stocks (December 29) How will stocks do in this first year of Trumponomics? Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be up or down compared to the final close of 2016? Which way will the Dow go? a. Up b. Down The Dow Jones continued to rise throughout the month. I maintained my advantage in the tie-breaker. 11. Earthquake (December 31) How many big earthquakes (magnitude 8.0 or larger on the Richter scale) will there be this year? (Big earthquake counts from this millennium are indicated in parentheses.) How many big earthquakes will there be this year? a. None (2) b. One (7) c. Two (4) d. Th
Post a Comment
Read more