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2008 Prognostication: Posts 4 and 5 of 12

The NHL and NBA have finished their championships. The Detroit Red Wings are hockey's best, and the Boston Celtics are tops in basketball. That would be (c) on Question 5 and (a) on Question 6. Each was the most popular answer, with 8 people picking (c) and 15 picking (a).

After the Detroit Red Wings won, there was a three-way tie for first place. Liz and Grant joined Matthew B. (who had injudiciously picked the Anaheim Ducks) atop the leaderboard with two points.

Liz's victory was notable as she advanced over her husband Jeff, who thought that another Eastern Conference team would prevail. Too bad Liz kept her Detroit blinders on with Question 6, picking the Detroit Pistons to top the NBA, or she might have built an insurmountable lead. Fortunately for her, though, Jeff also had the home state blinders on and picked the San Antonio Spurs to triumph in the NBA. Liz remains ahead of Jeff 2-1. Liz is also looking better in the long run, too, as Liz avoided the trap of picking the Detroit Tigers to win the World Series, instead correctly choosing the Boston Red Sox. Jeff, meanwhile, picked the hated New York Yankees, who currently trail the Red Sox by 5.5 games.

As of last night, though, Matthew B. has reclaimed the top spot on his own, as he was one of the 15 people who picked the Celtics. (Grant joined Jeff in picking San Antonio.) Nine people are still very much in the hunt with two points: Sandy, Chris, Liz, Grant, Ekrem, Megan, Jon, Oraldo, and finally Matthew D., who was the only person to pick both the Red Wings and the Celtics in order to catapult himself onto the leaderboard.

Nearly everyone else has one point now. Only two sad sacks have failed to get even one of the first five questions right: Jodene and Ryan each still have a big fat zero score.

Interestingly, there seems to be a very strong correlation between current score and support for Barack Obama in Question 10. Not a single person who currently has two or three points has picked Obama to win. Meanwhile, 6 of the 15 people with one point picked Obama, and both of the people with zero points picked Obama. That's a highly significant correlation, but what does it mean? I can't come up with a credible hypothesis.

Enough professional sports already! Next up should be the Economist's Democracy Index (Question 1) and the Olympics (Question 7), both in August. Stay tuned!

Comments

  1. At least I'm in the top ten...Thanks for the fun analysis and update, Michael.

    ReplyDelete

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