Skip to main content

2010 Prognostication Quiz, #9 Storms and #10 Polls

Question 9

In the spirit of the twelve days of Christmas, ended with twelve Atlantic hurricanes this year, making the correct answer E. 10 to 12 to Question 9 in the 2010 Prognostication Quiz. Only three people predicted this:

Ron
Kevin
Pamela

True, it was an El Nino year, but many climate scientists (including Quiz entrant Marcus, who predicted C. 6 to 7) thought that other prevailing factors would keep the total number of hurricanes down. Kudos to the three who predicted otherwise. Kevin and Pamela are having rather forgettable performances in this year's quiz, but Ron has catapulted himself back into the lead with his bold prediction.

Question 10

The Republican caucus gained 63 seats in the house and 6 seats in the Senate, making A. 40 or more seats the answer to Question 10 in 2010 Prognostication Quiz

Only a measly two people correctly predicted the scale of the GOP drubbing. One of them was my father Larry, one of our nation's most strident Republicans. The other was last year's winner Matthew, with an apparent Tocquevillesque sense of how America works despite being foreign born.

Leader Board

It's Ron leading the pack by a nose going into the final two weeks of the year! Ryan is very close, behind by a point, and followed by Missy, Larry, and Rachel H. at two behind.

8 Ron
7 Ryan
6 Missy
6 Larry
6 Rachel H.
5 Gloria
5 Janet
5 Adrian
5 Craig
5 Zoe
5 Russell
5 Rich
5 Matthew
5 Janette
4 Peter II
4 Katie
4 Carol
4 Marcus
3 Ellen
3 Keila
3 Topher
3 Polly
3 Beth K.
3 Eric
3 Michael A.
3 Beth Z.
3 Valerie
3 Todd
3 Leanne
3 Kevin
3 Liz
3 Stephanie
3 Megan
3 Cameron
3 Pamela
3 Ekrem
3 Mary C.
2 Cherie
2 Chris C.
2 Rachel F.
2 Nad
2 Sarah
2 Grant
2 Mary A.
2 Jan
2 Zhiqi
1 Jeff
1 Peter
1 Ben
1 Christopher T.
1 Tina
1 Mike F.

Question 11

No doubt the answer to this question has been pretty much determined by now. I have yet to do the calculations, however. I forgot to note the hockey and basketball standings on January 1 so that I could subtract them from the end-of-year standings. I am hoping to find a web site that will allow me to figure out the January 1, 2010 standings so I can enter them into a spreadsheet and calculate the answer.

Question 12

The Dow Jones Industrial Index is hovering right around 11,500, which is the border between answer E and F. Things could get very exciting at the end of the year, since Ron picked E and Ryan picked F. The possibility of one final, wintry death also looms large and could (with the help of Question 11) catapult even Missy, Larry, or Rachel H. into the lead. Stay tuned for an exciting finish!

Comments

  1. Kevin and I are having rather forgettable performances, aren't we, but apparently we can predict hurricanes.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Can You Cross Your Toes?

Katie and I had a heated discussion the night before last. We were sitting on the couch watching Jon Stewart when she noticed a large, apparently cancerous growth sticking out of the bottom of my foot. She asked what the big lump in my sock was. "That's my toe," I responded, nonplussed. I had crossed my first and second toes, causing a lump to protrude from the bottom of my sock. Katie was quite alarmed. "You can cross your toes?" "Sure, can't you? Everyone can cross their toes!" "Of course I can't cross my toes. Who can cross their toes?" And I confirmed that Katie could not, in fact, cross her toes. Even manipulating her toes with my fingers, I could not get her toes to stay crossed. She just has very short toes. That led, of course, into a discussion of who was the freak. Were my long, crossable toes abnormal, or were her stubby, uncrossable phalanges the outliers? In case you're confused, here are some pictures. First, of my v...

Leagalize drugs!

The Economist has a wonderful editorial this week about legalizing drugs. I wholeheartedly agree that the world will be better off by far if the United States legalized, taxed, and regulated illicit drugs such as cannabis, cocaine, and heroin. The goods that will come from legalization: 1. We will save the $40 billion the US spends trying to eliminate the supply of drugs. 2. We will save the costs involved in incarcerating so many drug offenders (as well as gain their productivity in society). 3. We will gain money through taxation on the legal drug trade. 4. Legalized drugs will be regulated, and thus purer and safer to take. 5. With all these savings, we will have lots of money to spend on treating drug addiction as a public health issue rather than as a law and order issue. We will have lots of money to fund treatment programs for addicts that are ensnared by the easier availability of drugs. 6. We will prevent tens of thousands of killings in countries that produce drugs when proc...

Max the Model

Katie sometimes talks to Max about all the things he can grow up to be. "Will you grow up to be a scientist like Daddy, or a lawyer like Mommy?" she will query. In recent days, though, we think Max might aspire to be a model. He LOVES the camera. Point it in his direction, and he is mesmerized by the big lens, giving it a big smile. He will sit for long series of photographs, changing his expressions constantly so we'll be sure to get a good one. This is Katie's recent favorite series (mostly because she thinks he looks so cute in the outfit): This is my favorite series, based purely on the dynamic range of emotions that Max is capable of. I am especially fond of the last picture. So cute!