2. Groundhog (February 2) Punxatawney Phil is known as the world's most famous prognosticating rodent. (He has declined repeated invitations to join the Prognostication Quiz.) On February 2, he emerges from his den and looks about. If he sees his shadow, it means six more weeks of winter. If he sees no shadow, it means an early spring. The number of total times Phil has seen each (since 1887) is indicated in parentheses. What will Punxatawney Phil see? a. His shadow (100) b. No shadow (15) Punxatawney Phil looked around earlier this month and saw no trace of shadow, indicating that we will have an early spring. That means the answer to Question 2 in the 2013 Prognostication Quiz is B. Ten of the 46 entrants (22%) correctly guessed that we were going to have an early winter this year. This is much higher than the 13% rate at which Phil has predicted an early spring since 1887. Did these folk check if human prognosticators predicted an early spring? No, the Farmer's